Date de publication
Géographie
Langue de la ressource
Texte disponible en version intégrale
Open Access / OK to Reproduce
Évalué par des pairs
L’objectif
Estimate the long-term effects on opioid death and incarceration resulting from increasingly strict fentanyl possession laws .
Constatations/points à retenir
Our model shows that lowering thresholds for felony possession of fentanyl containing drugs can lead to more opioid overdose deaths and incarceration.
La conception ou méthodologie de recherche
We built a Markov simulation model to explore the potential outcomes of a 2022 Colorado law which made possession of >1 g of drug with any amount of fentanyl a Level 4 drug felony (and escalation of the previous law, where >4 g of any drug with any amount of fentanyl in possession was considered a felony). The model simulates a cohort of people with fentanyl possession moving through the criminal justice system, exploring the probability of overdose and incarceration under different scenarios, including various fentanyl possession policies and potential interventions.
